And it wasn’t even close — Schreiner pulled twice the votes of his nearest rival. The NDP dropped four points in York Centre to less than six per cent of the vote, while the Greens dropped almost one point to 2.6 per cent. It is hard to imagine a Conservative majority government without an MP from Burlington. At the provincial level, Quebec’s last three governments have been run by three different parties. The New Democrats were shut out in Atlantic Canada in 2015 and have struggled in a series of provincial elections since. That puts the seat high on the target list for the Liberals, Bloc Québécois and Conservatives. One of the ridings where the lack of an incumbent could hurt the NDP is London–Fanshawe, where four-term NDP MP Irene Mathyssen has opted to take her name off the ballot. On that day, every Toronto Centre voter gets to choose who will be their representative. The Ford family name will be on the ballot, but it will belong to Renata Ford, widow of former Toronto mayor Rob Ford, who is running for the People’s Party. Hehr was given a seat at the cabinet table; he later lost it over allegations of sexual harassment, but he remains one of the Liberals’ best fundraisers and will put up a stiff fight against the Conservatives’ Greg McLean. The Liberals, Bloc and Conservatives are all covetously eyeing those seats — and all three parties have the potential for gains. In neighbouring B.C., the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion finds its highest level of support in the B.C. If there’s just one riding where the Liberals could feel the political fallout of the Trans Mountain purchase, it’s the riding where the pipeline meets the sea: Burnaby North–Seymour. I think this was incorrectly called. For the Conservatives, Mississauga–Erin Mills is at the top of that list, as it has been the friendliest Mississauga seat for the party in recent years. While that could make this riding low-hanging fruit for the Liberals, the Conservatives also have high hopes in former Trois-Rivières mayor Yves Lévesque. 2014 Election Result:Transposition courtesy of Kyle Hutton, Ontario Provincial Election - 2018 Wynne's concession was a huge mistake for a riding like this, where I think many low-information voters didn't realize just how bad the Liberals were polling. B.C. Can the Liberals hold on in a three-way race? There are some opportunities for the Conservatives on the East Coast, particularly where some high-profile Liberal incumbents have retired. But while Scheer would like to repeat the success of ‘Ford Nation’, he might face an obstacle in Ford himself. This web site is the creation of P.J. The riding, won by the Conservatives in 2011, went back to the Liberals in 2015 but it should be high on the Conservatives’ target list this year. But a few ridings in Ontario that otherwise would have been high on the Conservatives’ list of soft targets might be harder for them to win than previously thought — thanks to the unpopularity of Doug Ford’s Progressive Conservative government. With a significant francophone population, Orléans was long a Liberal stronghold: the party lost it only twice throughout the 20th century. I wonder why the NDP haven't nominated anyone here yet. The NDP brand has some staying power in this part of the province, however — the provincial B.C. At 47 per cent, Steveston–Richmond East has the third-most Chinese Canadians of any riding in the country. Western Canada also is going to be tough going for the Liberals. The NDP’s Daniel Blaikie beat Conservative incumbent Lawrence Toet by a margin of just 61 votes in 2015. At the other end of the country, some coastal residents are lamenting the pipeline that won’t be built: Energy East. Interior and the Fraser Valley, The 60 ridings that tell the story of where the election will be won and lost, CBC's Journalistic Standards and Practices. The Conservatives’ support in the riding dropped only marginally last time and the Liberals do not have an incumbent. Voters in two Toronto ridings head to the polls today in the first electoral test of the federal Liberal government's handling of the COVID-19 pandemic. Still an NDP pick up while unlikely is possible and if that happens the Liberals will likely be reduced to single digits in seats. In such extraordinary times, we need someone who will fight to improve the lives of every person in this riding. Feat that was always going to be a national party with representation across the country, the party can’t anything., however — the only time since 1979 that the Ontario PCs’ win the. Winning a majority government means winning most, if not all, of six. April when they formed the party’s overtures to the type of service group! 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